Category Archives: Metal Pairs

Alpha.Metals – Can lead deliver 100% against Gold?

By Orpheus | Published: 16 March, 2010

Well this question is similar to the one we asked on Platinum price divergence against Gold. Platinum delivered 80% against Gold. The lead – gold pair delivered back to 100% returns. First it was short lead long AIGP (precious metals Index) from 5 August 08 till 23 Feb 09 and then Long lead and short [...]

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Alpha.metals – Long performance silver signals begin

By Orpheus | Published: 22 February, 2010

We have been anticipating a turnaround in silver performance signal for a few updates now. Now that the silver (PHAG.L) has underperformed Copper (COPA.L), Platinum (PHPT.L) and precious metals index (AIGP.L) by 9% (since 6 Jan), 19% (since 6 Nov) and 6% (since 29 Oct) respectively, the reversals are here. We have three running pairs [...]

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Alpha.metals – What is with Nickel?

By Orpheus | Published: 14 February, 2010

Financially strapped airlines cut back, postponed or cancelled orders for new aircraft, reducing demand for nickel based super alloys. In case of tin, the apparent consumption declined by 17% in 2009 compared to 2008. This was attributed to global economic slowdown. So if both metals were affected by the slowdown, how can we know which [...]

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Alpha.Metals – Long Gold, Short Palladium turns green

By Orpheus | Published: 7 February, 2010

Now it’s official, Palladium is the best. According to the latest Bloomberg report “From Ford Motor Co. to Fortunoff to Schroders Plc, the demand for palladium is increasing fast enough to outstrip the supply and make it this year’s best investment among precious metals.” The only question one has to ask himself, is the news [...]

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Alpha.metals – copper hits a performance top and delivers 6% against gold

By Orpheus | Published: 31 January, 2010

The copper performance cycle topped as the metal ended its outperformance run against gold and reversed. The pair registered 6% last week (long gold – short copper). Copper, Zinc, Palladium performance cycles have already topped. Silver, Nickel, Uranium performance cycles have turned up. On the pair side long silver – short copper should signal soon. [...]

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Alpha.metals – Palladium tops and silver bottoms

By Orpheus | Published: 24 January, 2010

1: Silver continues to be the worst performer suggesting silver outperformance against gold. 2: After the extreme move up of 79% against gold, palladium is at the top and ready to reverse in performance. 3:  Uranium is the metal to watch, as it gets ready to move up in rankings and performance. 4: On the [...]

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Alpha.Metals – Long Palladium, Short Gold up 79% since July 09

By Orpheus | Published: 16 January, 2010

Orpheus has been writing about the prosperity index aka Gold – Silver ratio for nearly 5 years. The ratio line has been interpreted as a sentiment indicator for a few decades now. What’s new is the Orpheus time arbitrage strategies viz. long gold – short silver strategy, long copper – short silver, long palladium – [...]

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ALPHA.METALS – HOW CAN SILVER HURT DOW?

By Orpheus | Published: 11 November, 2009

Gold is a crisis commodity and Gold vs. Silver ratio line is also known as a sentiment indicator. When gold outperforms silver, recessions come. We have written about it on prior occasions (www.timetriads.com). The indicator has worked well over the last few decades. The only problem with the sentiment indicator is that it is not [...]

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GOLD VS URANIUM

By Orpheus | Published: 13 July, 2009

Barring URANIUM, Gold is up against every other metal in the metals complex. It was against steel that the crisis commodity has pushed up the post registering 18% in 30 days. Against Platinum, Gold delivered 11%.
Gold prices have pushed into key 900 zones for Gold. Now that intermediate cycles (SLIDE 5) have turned up, [...]

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THE GOLDEN OUTPERFORMANCE

By Orpheus | Published: 8 July, 2009

First it was LONG GOLD-SHORT DOW (up 5%), followed by LONG GOLD- SHORT OIL ( up 8%), GOLD vs. Industrial metals (up 1%) and LONG GOLD – SHORT SILVER (up 5%). Either this is a string of coincidences or our performance cycles really work. Mind it these are just gold related pairs, we have already [...]

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