Monthly Archives: June 2009

WAVES.ROM – BETFI VS BRD PAIR DELIVERS 21% IN 57 DAYS

By Orpheus | Published: 30 June, 2009
We have been highlighting performance cycles on Romanian markets for some time now. This is a part of our work on TIME FRACTALS. You can read more about TIME onTIMETRIADS.COM and track global pairs and Romanian pairs on ECONOHISTORY.COM . As markets extended we talked about value outperforming broader market. We also mentioned regarding BETC and [...]
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WAVES.ROM – ARE WE GOING UP?

By Orpheus | Published: 25 June, 2009
It’s too early too look for a change of view. Why? First: BETFI vs. BETC pair is overstretched against BETFI. Historically all these extremes have been followed by a drop in BETFI. How can it be explained? BETFI is blue chip compared to the broad based BETC. When blue chip reaches an outperformance extreme against [...]
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THE DOLLAR SENSEX

By Orpheus | Published: 25 June, 2009
There are stories about the inverse correlation between SENSEX and the US Dollar Index (USD). The same stories which talk about inverse correlation can also explain perfect correlation, but there is something missing here. First, perfect correlation does not last. Second, if instead of absolute prices if we compare changes between prices, the idea of [...]
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WAVES.OIL – LONG NAT GAS, SHORT BRENT

By Orpheus | Published: 16 June, 2009
Contrarianism works because it is the closest to TIME. Now that NATGAS outlook is at an extreme, the LONG NATGAS – SHORT BRENT strategy is worth it’s weight in GOLD. The intermediate cycles have already turned up and we should have some confirmation on primary (multi month) performance cycles soon. Moreover the way Fundamentalists are [...]
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WAVES.GOLD – THE RISE N FALL OF INDUSTRIAL METALS

By Orpheus | Published: 14 June, 2009
GOLD is back from 989 highs to recent 936 lows. We need more price confirmation to call the ongoing down leg on GOLD as the start of a larger intermediate leg down. At this stage the push down looks like a minor corrective that could push lower till 925. The challenge is whether it will [...]
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LONG DOW, SHORT OIL

By Orpheus | Published: 2 June, 2009
Long DOW, Short OIL might seem like a counterintuitive pair after we have already recommended LONG Gold, Short DOW, but the reality is different. Gold and OIL though belong to the same commodity asset class can behave differently. Gold is a crisis commodity and the weekly cycle lows against DOW (SLIDE 1) suggest that even [...]
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