By Orpheus | Published:
31 January, 2010
The copper performance cycle topped as the metal ended its outperformance run against gold and reversed. The pair registered 6% last week (long gold – short copper). Copper, Zinc, Palladium performance cycles have already topped. Silver, Nickel, Uranium performance cycles have turned up. On the pair side long silver – short copper should signal soon. [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
29 January, 2010
Grasim was at the bottom of rankings on 29 Dec 09 and now it is at the top of the ranking list. What does this mean? This means that end of Dec Grasim was ready to outperform Nifty. Did it outperform? Yes. Long Grasim, short Nifty delivered 13% over the last 30 days. This means [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
26 January, 2010
This is the excerpt of the brief presentation made by Mukul on the SIBEX 15 year anniversary.
Q: Is Dow connected to Romanian Bet?
A: Performance connects everything including DOW and BET.
Q: Does this performance move?
A: Yes it does. From 7 July 2009, Dow moves up from 10 ranking to 4, BET moves down from 4 ranking [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
24 January, 2010
1: Silver continues to be the worst performer suggesting silver outperformance against gold. 2: After the extreme move up of 79% against gold, palladium is at the top and ready to reverse in performance. 3: Uranium is the metal to watch, as it gets ready to move up in rankings and performance. 4: On the [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
21 January, 2010
Last time we said that “Technology is a leading sector, which gives market direction. The respective sector heading into top three performers suggest that the leader is finally taking its preferred slot, getting ready to hoist the topping flag for Indian markets.”
What happened since our last Alpha.India report is that another leading sector, Banks has [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
19 January, 2010
BRD closed its pair trades against BETXT and BET on 4 Jan and 24 Dec respectively. Both the pairs delivered above 30% return in 175 calendar days. This means an annualized performance of more than 60%. The SNP pairs are still running. SNP is underperforming both BETXT and BET for more than 100 days now. [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
16 January, 2010
Orpheus has been writing about the prosperity index aka Gold – Silver ratio for nearly 5 years. The ratio line has been interpreted as a sentiment indicator for a few decades now. What’s new is the Orpheus time arbitrage strategies viz. long gold – short silver strategy, long copper – short silver, long palladium – [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
15 January, 2010
Numeric rankings suggest it is time to reduce small cap, mid caps and technology.
The 4 Jan yearly outlook carried numeric ranking for 50 Nifty Stocks. The histogram ranked real price performances, pushing the performers to the top and underperformers to the bottom. Sun Pharmaceutical was the top performer, Grasim was the worst and the three [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
14 January, 2010
Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Program, Market Technicians Association
History – Market Technicians Association
Mukul is a Chartered Market Technician, MBA Finance and a member of the reputed Market Technicians association. He has more than a decade of Capital Market experience dealing with derivatives and global assets. He has worked for Bombay Stock Exchange, multinational Banks and [...]
By Orpheus | Published:
13 January, 2010
There was one thing missing from the last few week’s rankings. It was the fact that technology sector CNXIT was still low in rankings. Technology is a leading sector, which gives market direction. The respective sector heading into top three performers suggest that the leader is finally taking its preferred slot, getting ready to hoist [...]