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	<title>Econohistory &#187; india</title>
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	<link>http://econohistory.com</link>
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	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 28 Jul 2010 20:14:31 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<item>
		<title>Alpha.India &#8211; long Nifty, short Sun</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1790?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-long-nifty-short-sun</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1790#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 May 2010 20:14:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1790</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We have been illustrating SUN as a top ranking potential underperformer. Finally the stock is witnessing some negativity and now that the performance cycles are dipping the second time, we expect SUN to deliver a clear underperformance against Nifty. We have seen a similar whipsaw in Tisco – Sterlite. Tisco performance cycles have turned lower. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have been illustrating SUN as a top ranking potential underperformer. Finally the stock is witnessing some negativity and now that the performance cycles are dipping the second time, we expect SUN to deliver a clear underperformance against Nifty. We have seen a similar whipsaw in Tisco – Sterlite. Tisco performance cycles have turned lower. We have reinitiated the pair and expect short Tisco – long Sterlite to deliver. Both the respective pairs started on 26 Apr and are running positive performances. The short Nifty &#8211; long Maruti pair hit a stop. The rest of the pairs are running positive performances, lead by long Nifty – short ACC which has delivered 11% in 48 days. We are also expecting the long Nifty – short HDBK, short Nifty – long Tata Power pairs to begin soon.</p>
<p>Our single asset long only, short only model is witnessing a clear reduction in long positions. We continue to look at a short bias emerging ahead.  Please keep in mind long only, short only signal is a trending model and different from the numeric ranking model. Our latest numeric Ranking for sectors continues to illustrate Banks as the top potential underperformer and Metals as top potential outperformer. On the stocks side, we have HDFC and HDBK at the top while ONGC remains at the lower extreme. For more information on Alpha Romania mail us at <a href="mailto:support@orpheus.asia">support@orpheus.asia</a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.NR_.SECTORS.030510.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.NR_.SECTORS.030510.png" alt="" title="AI.NR.SECTORS.030510" width="382" height="293" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1791" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.SU_.030510.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.SU_.030510.png" alt="" title="AI.SU.030510" width="685" height="477" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1792" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/NR.STOCKS.030510.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/NR.STOCKS.030510.png" alt="" title="NR.STOCKS.030510" width="683" height="932" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1793" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.CYCLES.I.050310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.CYCLES.I.050310.png" alt="" title="AI.CYCLES.I.050310" width="2308" height="1463" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1794" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.CYCLES.II_.030510.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/05/AI.CYCLES.II_.030510.png" alt="" title="AI.CYCLES.II.030510" width="2254" height="1469" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1795" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Alpha </strong>is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and  Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time  Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals  are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days),  minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily  signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and  running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative  allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for  selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed  by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles</strong> is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This  is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but  expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator  that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance  and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A  top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top  relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative  underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p><strong>Time arbitrage</strong> portfolio legs should be risk weighted before  any implementation.<br />
<strong>Coverage India</strong>: Indices, top 50 Nifty stocks, requested portfolio  stocks<br />
<strong>Stop loss</strong> and exits are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php">To login to the member&#8217;s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
<p><a name="fb_share"></a><script src="http://static.ak.fbcdn.net/connect.php/js/FB.Share" type="text/javascript"></script></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Alpha.India &#8211; Tisco vs. Sterlite; Bhel vs. ACC</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1703?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-the-tisco-%25e2%2580%2593-sterlite-and-bhel-%25e2%2580%2593-acc-cases</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1703#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Apr 2010 17:39:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1703</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We illustrated here two of our running pairs along with the respective performance cycles. The Short Tisco – Long Sterlite pair started on 23 Mar and it seems to be pushing back to the positive zone now as cycles continue to suggest further underperformance of Tisco against Sterlite. Short Bhel – Long Acc is a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We illustrated here two of our running pairs along with the respective performance cycles. The Short Tisco – Long Sterlite pair started on 23 Mar and it seems to be pushing back to the positive zone now as cycles continue to suggest further underperformance of Tisco against Sterlite. Short Bhel – Long Acc is a 171 days old running pair which continues to deliver gains over 20%. Performance cycles are still pointing lower in favor of Acc, but the pair should be closed if gains drop below 20%. The Long HDBK – Short ICBK pair hit a stop loss and was closed mid week.</p>
<p>Hero Honda dethroned Grasim and is now the top potential underperformer stock for the next few weeks, followed by Sun and HDBK, meanwhile SBI remains the top potential outperformer. Although Grasim was kicked out of Nifty, we kept it just to show it underperforming. We will kick it out after it drops in ranking more. The technology sector is most likely to outperform more in the next few weeks and the top potential underperformer sectors are Small Cap, Capital Goods and Consumer Durables.</p>
<p><strong>Strategy update</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.SU_.120410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1701" title="AI.SU.120410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.SU_.120410.png" alt="" width="656" height="446" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Numeric Ranking Sectors</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.NR_.SEC.120410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1702" title="AI.NR.SEC.120410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.NR_.SEC.120410.png" alt="" width="352" height="293" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Numeric Ranking Stocks</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.NR_.STOCKS.120410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1704" title="AI.NR.STOCKS.120410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.NR_.STOCKS.120410.png" alt="" width="673" height="1032" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles I</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.I.120410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1705" title="AI.CYCLES.I.120410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.I.120410.png" alt="" width="2170" height="1449" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles II</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.II_.120410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1706" title="AI.CYCLES.II.120410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.II_.120410.png" alt="" width="2180" height="1455" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Alpha </strong>is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and  Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time  Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals  are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days),  minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily  signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and  running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative  allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for  selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed  by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles</strong> is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This  is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but  expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator  that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance  and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A  top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top  relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative  underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p><strong>Time arbitrage</strong> portfolio legs should be risk weighted before  any implementation.<br />
<strong>Coverage India</strong>: Indices, top 50 Nifty stocks, requested portfolio  stocks<br />
<strong>Stop loss</strong> and exits are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php">To login to the member&#8217;s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
<p><a name="fb_share"></a><script src="http://static.ak.fbcdn.net/connect.php/js/FB.Share" type="text/javascript"></script></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Alpha India: HDBK &#8211; ICBK, Tisco – Sterlite anticipated reversals Happen</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1662?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-sbi-hdfc-tisco-%25e2%2580%2593-sterlite-anticipated-reversals-happen</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1662#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Apr 2010 21:37:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We mentioned last time that the HDBK &#8211; ICBK and Tisco – Sterlite pairs are on our list for a potential reversal. Both anticipated reversals happened and now we have fresh signals in the case of Long HDBK – Short ICBK and Long Sterlite – Short Tisco pairs. We currently have 11 Long – Short [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We mentioned last time that the HDBK &#8211; ICBK and Tisco – Sterlite pairs are on our list for a potential reversal. Both anticipated reversals happened and now we have fresh signals in the case of Long HDBK – Short ICBK and Long Sterlite – Short Tisco pairs. We currently have 11 Long – Short running pairs and we are keeping an eye on the Nifty – Tata Power, Nifty – SBI, Nifty – Maruti and SBI – HDFC pairs for a potential reversal. Grasim remains at the top of the NR list, as well as SBI at the bottom. On the sector side we have Metals as the top potential underperformer sector in the weeks ahead and FMCG as the top potential outperformer.</p>
<p>The latest ALPHA.INDIA carries numeric ranking, numeric ranking changes, strategy update, performance cycles, pair signals, long only-short only signals and more. Mail us for a free trial today.</p>
<p><strong>Strategy update</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.SU_.050410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1661" title="AI.SU.050410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.SU_.050410.png" alt="" width="653" height="438" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Numeric Ranking Sectors</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.SECTORS.050410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1663" title="AI.SECTORS.050410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.SECTORS.050410.png" alt="" width="426" height="296" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Numeric Ranking Stocks and Changes</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.NR_.STOCKS.050410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1664" title="AI.NR.STOCKS.050410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.NR_.STOCKS.050410.png" alt="" width="679" height="1056" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles I</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.I.050410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1665" title="AI.CYCLES.I.050410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.I.050410.png" alt="" width="2288" height="1463" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles II</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.II_.050410.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1666" title="AI.CYCLES.II.050410" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.CYCLES.II_.050410.png" alt="" width="2255" height="1469" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Pairs cycles</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.PAIRS_.I.050410.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/04/AI.PAIRS_.I.050410.png" alt="" title="AI.PAIRS.I.050410" width="2224" height="620" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1672" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Alpha </strong>is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and  Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time  Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals  are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days),  minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily  signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and  running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative  allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for  selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed  by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles</strong> is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This  is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but  expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator  that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance  and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A  top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top  relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative  underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p><strong>Time arbitrage</strong> portfolio legs should be risk weighted before  any implementation.<br />
<strong>Coverage India</strong>: Indices, top 50 Nifty stocks, requested portfolio  stocks<br />
<strong>Stop loss</strong> and exits are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php">To login to the member&#8217;s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
<p><a name="fb_share"></a><script src="http://static.ak.fbcdn.net/connect.php/js/FB.Share" type="text/javascript"></script></p>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Alpha.India – Grasim, L&amp;T polarity reversal is here</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1626?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-%25e2%2580%2593-grasim-lt-pair-polarity-changes</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1626#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Mar 2010 22:43:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1626</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In our last Alpha.India update, we initiated the long Nifty &#8211; short ACC pair which has brought gains over 7% since then. We mentioned that the long Nifty &#8211; short Tata Motors pair seems ready to restart and it did. We also mentioned that the HDBK &#8211; ICBK performance polarity might reverse. It reversed after [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In our last Alpha.India update, we initiated the long Nifty &#8211; short ACC pair which has brought gains over 7% since then. We mentioned that the long Nifty &#8211; short Tata Motors pair seems ready to restart and it did. We also mentioned that the HDBK &#8211; ICBK performance polarity might reverse. It reversed after 100 days and peak returns of 10%. We are also keeping a close eye on the SBI &#8211; HDFC and Tisco &#8211; Sterlite pairs for a potential reversal. </p>
<p>We have illustrated here the historical long Grasim &#8211; short L&#038;T pair (which made a profit of 40%) along with the fresh signal on short Grasim &#8211; long L&#038;T. The pair polarity seem has reversed. </p>
<p>The latest alpha introduces long only, short only signals for top 50, carries fresh pair signals, sector insights and much more. Mail us for more information on Alpha India.</p>
<p>Strategy update</p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.SU_.290310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.SU_.290310.png" alt="" title="AI.SU.290310" width="668" height="415" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1623" /></a></p>
<p>Numeric Ranking Sectors<br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.NR_.SECT_.290310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.NR_.SECT_.290310.png" alt="" title="AI.NR.SECT.290310" width="405" height="308" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1624" /></a></p>
<p>Numeric Ranking Stocks<br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.NR_.STOCKS.290310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.NR_.STOCKS.290310.png" alt="" title="AI.NR.STOCKS.290310" width="662" height="913" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1625" /></a></p>
<p>Performance Cycles I<br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.I.290310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.I.290310.png" alt="" title="AI.CYCLES.I.290310" width="2191" height="1427" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1627" /></a></p>
<p>Performance Cycles II<br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.II_.290310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.II_.290310.png" alt="" title="AI.CYCLES.II.290310" width="2187" height="1433" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1628" /></a></p>
<p>ALPHA is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p>TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has 18 pairs CNXIT-NIFTY, RELIANCE-NIFTY, TCS-NIFTY, ONGC-NIFTY, INFOSYS-CNXIT, ONGC-RELIANCE, HDBK-ICBK, BHEL-ACC, GRAS-LNT, HLL-ITC, SBI-HDFC, NIFTY-STERLITE, NIFTY-HDBK, SBI-NIFTY, BHEL-NIFTY, NIFTY-ACC, TCS-CNXIT and SBI-HDBK. Minor degree averaged 10-30 days and intermediate degree trade averages above 30 days. The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS +A-B means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. While CNXIT/INFOSYS –A+B means SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS.</p>
<p>LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO, BHEL, ACC, GRASIM, L&amp;T, HLL, ITC, SBI, HDFC, STERLITE</p>
<p>STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php">To login to the member&#8217;s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
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		<title>Alpha.India &#8211; Stocks, strategy and sector update</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1460?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-stocks-strategy-and-sector-update</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1460#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Mar 2010 23:10:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1460</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Grasim and Infosys remain the top potential underperformer stocks for the weeks ahead, meanwhile SBI and HDFC are the top potential outperformers. On the sector side, we have Metals and Banks as top potential underperformers and Oil as the top potential outperformer sector for the weeks ahead (which is in sync with our triangle scenario [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Grasim and Infosys remain the top potential underperformer stocks for the weeks ahead, meanwhile SBI and HDFC are the top potential outperformers. On the sector side, we have Metals and Banks as top potential underperformers and Oil as the top potential outperformer sector for the weeks ahead (which is in sync with our triangle scenario from Waves). The pair tracker carries running signals  for Bharty – Nifty, Maruti – M&#038;M, Tamo – Nifty, HDBK – ICBK, Grasim – Nifty, SBI – HDFC and BHEL – ACC, meanwhile our Long only – Short only tracker has fresh signals for ITC and Cipla. Our latest Alpha India report carries numeric rankings, strategy update, long only – short only signals and pairs tracker. </p>
<p><strong>Numeric Ranking</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.NR_.010310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.NR_.010310.png" alt="" title="AI.NR.010310" width="584" height="973" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1459" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Strategy update</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.SU_.010310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.SU_.010310.png" alt="" title="AI.SU.010310" width="835" height="906" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1461" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles I</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.I.010310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.I.010310.png" alt="" title="AI.CYCLES.I.010310" width="2243" height="1522" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1462" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Performance cycles II</strong><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.II_.010310.png"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/03/AI.CYCLES.II_.010310.png" alt="" title="AI.CYCLES.II.010310" width="2224" height="1528" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1463" /></a></p>
<p>ALPHA is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p>TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has 18 pairs CNXIT-NIFTY, RELIANCE-NIFTY, TCS-NIFTY, ONGC-NIFTY, INFOSYS-CNXIT, ONGC-RELIANCE, HDBK-ICBK, BHEL-ACC, GRAS-LNT, HLL-ITC, SBI-HDFC, NIFTY-STERLITE, NIFTY-HDBK, SBI-NIFTY, BHEL-NIFTY, NIFTY-ACC, TCS-CNXIT and SBI-HDBK. Minor degree averaged 10-30 days and intermediate degree trade averages above 30 days. The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS +A-B means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. While CNXIT/INFOSYS –A+B means SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS.</p>
<p>LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO, BHEL, ACC, GRASIM, L&amp;T, HLL, ITC, SBI, HDFC, STERLITE</p>
<p>STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php">To login to the member&#8217;s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
<p><a name="fb_share"></a><script src="http://static.ak.fbcdn.net/connect.php/js/FB.Share" type="text/javascript"></script></p>
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		<title>Alpha.India &#8211; Long Grasim, short Nifty delivers 13%</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1246?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-grasim-remains-the-top-potential-underperformer</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1246#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Jan 2010 08:39:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Grasim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1246</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Grasim was at the bottom of rankings on 29 Dec 09 and now it is at the top of the ranking list. What does this mean? This means that end of Dec Grasim was ready to outperform Nifty. Did it outperform? Yes. Long Grasim, short Nifty delivered 13% over the last 30 days. This means [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Grasim was at the bottom of rankings on 29 Dec 09 and now it is at the top of the ranking list. What does this mean? This means that end of Dec Grasim was ready to outperform Nifty. Did it outperform? Yes. Long Grasim, short Nifty delivered 13% over the last 30 days. This means 158% non leveraged annualized spot returns. Now that Grasim has hit a top, a performance reversal should not be far away, when Grasim starts to underperform Nifty. We will keep you posted on the same.</p>
<p>Meanwhile the anticipated breakdown we have been talking on markets happened. Banks and Technology pushed lower in rankings. The new top potential underperformer sector is FMCG, followed by Oil which climbed up from much lower rankings. The top potential underperformer sector is metals, preceded by small cap and capital goods. Stock specific, the top two places are unchanged. Grasim and Infosys remain the top underperformer stocks for two weeks in a row. Tata Motors and M&amp;M also seem overstretched in performance and should not sustain outperformance against Nifty for long. HDFC performance cycles continue to suggest that there is more catch up for stock against Nifty. Another financial stock, SBI pushed lower to the end of the list.  The latest Alpha India also carries the net change in rankings since 1 Oct 09. Grasim, Infosys were the fastest positive changes  while ICBK and Sterlite were the fastest negative changes.</p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/grasim.nifty_.290110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1249" title="grasim.nifty.290110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/grasim.nifty_.290110.png" alt="" width="638" height="436" /></a><br />
<a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/nr.alpha_.290110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1253" title="nr.alpha.290110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/nr.alpha_.290110.png" alt="" width="680" height="891" /></a></p>
<p>Performance cycles</p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/AI.CYCLES1.290110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1244" title="AI.CYCLES1.290110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/AI.CYCLES1.290110.png" alt="" width="1832" height="2094" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/AI.CYCLES2.290110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1245" title="AI.CYCLES2.290110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/AI.CYCLES2.290110.png" alt="" width="1832" height="2093" /></a></p>
<p>ALPHA is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p>TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has 18 pairs CNXIT-NIFTY, RELIANCE-NIFTY, TCS-NIFTY, ONGC-NIFTY, INFOSYS-CNXIT, ONGC-RELIANCE, HDBK-ICBK, BHEL-ACC, GRAS-LNT, HLL-ITC, SBI-HDFC, NIFTY-STERLITE, NIFTY-HDBK, SBI-NIFTY, BHEL-NIFTY, NIFTY-ACC, TCS-CNXIT and SBI-HDBK. Minor degree averaged 10-30 days and intermediate degree trade averages above 30 days. The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS +A-B means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. While CNXIT/INFOSYS –A+B means SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS.</p>
<p>LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO, BHEL, ACC, GRASIM, L&amp;T, HLL, ITC, SBI, HDFC, STERLITE</p>
<p>STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php">To login to the member&#8217;s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
<p><a name="fb_share"></a><script src="http://static.ak.fbcdn.net/connect.php/js/FB.Share" type="text/javascript"></script></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Alpha.India – Banking joins tech to lead the way down</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/1215?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-%25e2%2580%2593-banking-joins-tech-to-lead-the-way-down</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/1215#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jan 2010 22:04:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=1215</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last time we said that “Technology is a leading sector, which gives market direction. The respective sector heading into top three performers suggest that the leader is finally taking its preferred slot, getting ready to hoist the topping flag for Indian markets.” What happened since our last Alpha.India report is that another leading sector, Banks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last time we said that “Technology is a leading sector, which gives market direction. The respective sector heading into top three performers suggest that the leader is finally taking its preferred slot, getting ready to hoist the topping flag for Indian markets.”</p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/STOCKS_220110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1224" title="STOCKS_220110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/STOCKS_220110.png" alt="" width="664" height="993" /></a></p>
<p>What happened since our last Alpha.India report is that another leading sector, Banks has also pushed higher at the top of the list, confirming our topping view on the overall market. Banking is second in numeric ranking indicating potential underperformance for the weeks ahead. This relative weakness should continue to display in consumer durables, mid cap and technology sector also.</p>
<p>After the unrelenting rise of Grasim from bottom of rankings to top of rankings, Grasim turns to a reduce. Infosys and M&amp;M also remained at the top of the ranking and hence weak. HDFC is a strange case for us. This is not the first time banking sector is one one side and HDFC on the other. The stock pushed lower to the bottom on rankings and suggest potential outperformance compared to the market (Nifty).</p>
<p>Performance cycles</p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/CYCLES1.220110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1218" title="CYCLES1.220110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/CYCLES1.220110.png" alt="" width="1836" height="1852" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/CYCLES2.220110.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1219" title="CYCLES2.220110" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2010/01/CYCLES2.220110.png" alt="" width="1836" height="1852" /></a></p>
<p>ALPHA is a pair trading, long only &#8211; short only strategy and Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p>TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has 18 pairs CNXIT-NIFTY, RELIANCE-NIFTY, TCS-NIFTY, ONGC-NIFTY, INFOSYS-CNXIT, ONGC-RELIANCE, HDBK-ICBK, BHEL-ACC, GRAS-LNT, HLL-ITC, SBI-HDFC, NIFTY-STERLITE, NIFTY-HDBK, SBI-NIFTY, BHEL-NIFTY, NIFTY-ACC, TCS-CNXIT and SBI-HDBK. Minor degree averaged 10-30 days and intermediate degree trade averages above 30 days. The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS +A-B means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. While CNXIT/INFOSYS –A+B means SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS.</p>
<p>LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO, BHEL, ACC, GRASIM, L&amp;T, HLL, ITC, SBI, HDFC, STERLITE</p>
<p>STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.</p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p>Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.</p>
<p>Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.</p>
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<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
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		<title>ALPHA.INDIA &#8211; SBI DELIVERS 9% IN 6 DAYS</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/424?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=alpha-india-sbi-delivers-9-in-6-days</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/424#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2009 05:40:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBI]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=424</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ALPHA is a pair trading, long only and short only strategy product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/09/ALPHA1.0909091.PNG"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-459" title="ALPHA1.090909" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/09/ALPHA1.0909091.PNG" alt="ALPHA1.090909" width="594" height="91" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/09/ALPHA2.090909.PNG"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-423" title="ALPHA2.090909" src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/09/ALPHA2.090909.PNG" alt="ALPHA2.090909" width="645" height="430" /></a></p>
<p>ALPHA is a pair trading, long only and short only strategy product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p>TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has five pairs now viz. Reliance &#8211; Nifty, CNXIT-Nifty, TCS-Nifty, CNXIT-Infosys, Nifty-ONGC. The above tracker will be updated on a daily basis. The freshly opened trades will have the shortest holding periods. The type of trade will be depicted in the degree i.e. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. This also means +A-B. When the pair inverts to INFOSYS/CNXIT, it would mean SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS meaning -A+B.</p>
<p>LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO.</p>
<p>STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Please feel free to mail us for any clarifications.  *This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
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		<title>WHERE ARE THE BULLISH LONGS?</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/325?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=where-are-the-bullish-longs</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/325#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Aug 2009 04:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long only]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pairs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=325</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[IF THINGS ARE ROSY (POSITIVE), WHY IS THE SYSTEM WITH FEW LONGS? ALPHA is a pair trading, long only and short only strategy product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>IF THINGS ARE ROSY (POSITIVE), WHY IS THE SYSTEM WITH FEW LONGS?</p>
<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/08/ALPHA.IND.260809.GIF"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/08/ALPHA.IND.260809.GIF" alt="ALPHA.IND.260809" title="ALPHA.IND.260809" width="905" height="475" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-324" /></a></p>
<p>ALPHA is a pair trading, long only and short only strategy product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p>TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has five pairs now viz. Reliance &#8211; Nifty, CNXIT-Nifty, TCS-Nifty, CNXIT-Infosys, Nifty-ONGC. The above tracker will be updated on a daily basis. The freshly opened trades will have the shortest holding periods. The type of trade will be depicted in the degree i.e. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. This also means +A-B. When the pair inverts to INFOSYS/CNXIT, it would mean SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS meaning -A+B.</p>
<p>LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO.</p>
<p>STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%</p>
<p>Please feel free to mail us for any clarifications.  *This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
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		<title>SUBMINOR LONG CNXIT-SHORT NIFTY</title>
		<link>http://econohistory.com/article/277?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=subminor-long-cnxit-short-nifty</link>
		<comments>http://econohistory.com/article/277#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2009 19:15:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Indian Pairs and Assets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[.CNXIT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NIFTY]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://econohistory.com/?p=277</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A new pair SUB MINOR LONG CNXIT-SHORT NIFTY starts tomorrow morning. Two previous pairs also close tomorrow. The first was SUB MINOR CNXIT-INFOSYS which closed without a change. The second was SUB MINOR LONG CNXIT-SHORT NIFTY which delivered 4% over 7 days. We have enclosed the value sheet for the pair which illustrates the potential [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/08/ALPHA.IND.060809.GIF"><img src="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/08/ALPHA.IND.060809.GIF" alt="ALPHA.IND.060809" title="ALPHA.IND.060809" width="948" height="310" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-276" /></a></p>
<p>A new pair SUB MINOR LONG CNXIT-SHORT NIFTY starts tomorrow morning. Two previous pairs also close tomorrow. The first was SUB MINOR CNXIT-INFOSYS which closed without a change. The second was SUB MINOR LONG CNXIT-SHORT NIFTY which delivered 4% over 7 days. We have enclosed the value sheet for the pair which illustrates the potential margin and number of trades to be done for each leg. </p>
<p>Enjoy the latest ALPHA.INDIA</p>
<p>DOWNLOAD THE REPORT <strong><span style="color: #993300;"><a href="http://econohistory.com/wp-content/eh_files/2009/08/ALPHA.IND.040809.pdf">ALPHA.IND.040809</a></span></strong></p>
<p>*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.</p>
<p><strong>ALPHA</strong> is a pair trading strategy product based on TIME ARBITRAGE, a term coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and binary charts. The product carries running performance portfolio tracker and give clear entry and exit signals. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.</p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; UNITED KINGDOM</a></p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS &#8211; USA</a></p>
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